Current Coalition: Tidö Agreement

Formation: October 2022 | Status: Active | Majority: 176 seats (of 349 total)

Coalition Stability Assessment

Majority Margin: 1 seat (narrow)

CIA Risk Assessment: 12 MAJOR alerts, 5 CRITICAL alerts detected (last 90 days)

Fragility Indicators: Ideological tensions between SD and L, vulnerable to defections

Stability Score: Moderate Risk (72%)

🗳️ Election Cycle Intelligence (1994-2034)

Comprehensive analysis of 40 years of Swedish Parliament election cycles with party performance evolution, decision-making effectiveness, predictive risk forecasting, and temporal voting patterns across 9+ election cycles.

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Election Cycle Performance Timeline

Party performance evolution across 9 election cycles (1994-2034)

Decision Effectiveness Heatmap

Legislative approval rates by party and cycle

Predictive Risk Forecasting

Risk trajectory and confidence levels (2022-2034)

Temporal Voting Patterns

Attendance, ballots, and volatility trends

Party Tier Distribution

Performance tiers (ntile_party_tier: 1-4)

Data by Citizen Intelligence Agency Platform | Updated from GitHub sample data | 24-hour caching

Party Performance & Effectiveness

Comprehensive analysis of Swedish political parties using 50+ years of CIA platform data. Track effectiveness trends, coalition dynamics, and momentum indicators across 8 parties.

Effectiveness Trends (1990-2026)

Historical party effectiveness scores showing legislative productivity, voting consistency, and policy impact over time.

Line chart displaying effectiveness scores for Social Democrats, Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Centre Party, Left Party, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Green Party from 1990 to 2026.

Party Comparison (Current Period)

Comparative analysis of party performance metrics for the current legislative period.

Horizontal bar chart showing comparative performance scores for all parties in the current legislative period, sorted by score.

Coalition Alignment

Coalition patterns and inter-party collaboration networks.

Visual representation of coalition patterns showing collaboration strength percentages between different party combinations.

Momentum Indicators

Party momentum scores with percentile benchmarks (P50, P90) indicating electoral trajectory.

Doughnut chart displaying momentum indicator scores for each party with percentile benchmarks.

🏛️ Committee Performance & Network Analytics

Committee Network Diagram

Interactive visualization of committee relationships and productivity. Drag nodes to explore connections.

Productivity Matrix (2020-2026)

Heat map showing committee productivity scores over time. Hover over cells for detailed information.

Committee Comparison

Compare productivity scores across all 15 committees.

Decision Effectiveness

Track decision outcomes (approved, rejected, pending) over time.

Seasonal Activity Patterns

Quarterly activity trends showing how committee work varies across the year.

📊 Data powered by CIA Platform | Updated: Loading...

🤝 Coalition & Voting Pattern Analysis

Interactive analysis of coalition dynamics, party alignments, and voting behavior patterns in the Swedish Riksdag.

Coalition Network (Interactive)

Force-directed graph showing coalition strength between Swedish political parties. Drag nodes, zoom, and click for details.

Voting Anomalies (Last 5 Years)

Scatter plot highlighting unusual voting patterns and party defections from expected behavior.

Party Alignment Heat Map

Matrix visualization showing cross-party voting agreement levels based on historical voting records.

Behavioral Patterns

Party voting consistency scores measuring adherence to party line across all votes.

Decision Trends (1990-2026)

Historical timeline showing annual voting activity trends for all parties over 36 years.

Data Attribution: Visualizations powered by CIA Platform intelligence exports. Data updates weekly from Swedish Parliament open data APIs.

📅 Seasonal Activity Patterns (2002-2025)

Quarterly Analysis with Z-Score Anomaly Detection

Quarterly Activity Heat Map (2002-2025)

Ballot volume by year and quarter with Z-score overlay. Red circles indicate statistical anomalies (|Z| ≥ 2.0).

Z-Score Anomaly Detection

Statistical outliers (|Z| ≥ 2.0) are flagged in red based on anomaly thresholds.

Average Activity by Quarter (All Years)

Q1–Q4 baselines across all years. Shows typical activity patterns across seasons.

Seasonal Pattern Classification

Distribution of NORMAL, ELEVATED, REDUCED, and ANOMALY patterns across years.

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes

Sequential ballot changes (% and absolute). Green indicates increase, red indicates decrease.

📊 Data by CIA Platform | Updated Daily

Pre-Election Monitoring Dashboard (Q4 2023-2025)

Track Q4 parliamentary activity in the critical 12-15 months before the 2026 election. Compare current activity against historical baselines and election-year patterns.

Ballot Activity

16,750

+4.34% vs baseline

NORMAL

Document Production

3,451

+25.55% vs baseline

NORMAL

Attendance Rate

85.75%

+0.75% vs baseline

STABLE

Party Win Rate

59.72%

+3.55% YoY

IMPROVING

Q4 Activity Timeline (2023-2025)

Ballots, documents, attendance trends with baseline overlay

Election vs. Non-Election Q4 Patterns

Historical Q4 activity (2002-2025): Election years vs. Non-election years

Deviation from Baseline (2025 Q4)

Multi-metric deviation analysis

Party Performance Trends (2023-2025)

Win rate, absence rate, document production by year

Year-over-Year Changes

Ballot activity changes: 2023 → 2024 → 2025

Early Warning Indicator Matrix

Real-time status of 4 monitored metrics (ballots, documents, attendance, YoY change)

📊 Data by CIA Platform | Updated Daily

🚨 Anomaly Detection & Early Warning System

Statistical outlier identification in Swedish Parliament activity (2002-2026) using Z-score analysis

Anomaly Timeline (2002-2026)

Chronological view of detected anomalies with severity coding

Z-Score Distribution

Normal curve with outlier markers (|Z| ≥ 2.0)

Anomaly Type Distribution

Ballot vs. Document anomaly distribution

Severity Heat Map (Year × Quarter)

Grid showing anomaly severity by year and quarter

Anomaly Frequency by Quarter

Q1-Q4 anomaly counts across all years

Recent Anomalies (Last 5)

Most recent anomalies with details

🎖️ Government Minister Risk & Influence

Ministry Risk Heat Map

Top 10 Most Influential Ministers

Ministry Productivity Matrix

Decision Impact Trends

View data as accessible table

Risk Assessment & Anomaly Detection

Comprehensive intelligence analysis using 45 risk rules across 349 MPs with statistical anomaly detection (P90/P99 thresholds). Historical analysis includes 2494 politicians (1971-2024).

Risk Level Heat Map (45 Rules × 349 MPs)

Interactive heat map showing risk scores for each MP across all 45 transparency rules. Click cells for details.

Risk Distribution

Distribution of risk scores across all MPs

Anomaly Detection (P90/P99)

Voting anomalies with statistical thresholds at 90th and 99th percentiles

Crisis Resilience Indicators

Resilience scores by party and government stability metrics

Risk Evolution Timeline (2020-2026)

Historical trends of risk categories over time

Top 10 Ethics Concerns

MPs with highest ethics risk scores

Electoral Risk (MPs at Risk)

MPs with highest electoral vulnerability for 2026 election

Data Source: Citizen Intelligence Agency | Last Updated: Loading...

Risk scores calculated using 45 transparency rules across 4 domains (politician, party, committee, ministry). Anomaly detection uses P90 (warning) and P99 (critical) statistical thresholds.

Comprehensive Intelligence Platform

CIA delivers systematic political transparency through 45 risk rules across 4 domains and 5 analytical frameworks.

🔍 Real-Time Monitoring

  • 349 MPs tracked (— historical) automatically
  • — individual ballot records analyzed
  • — documents processed
  • — member proposals tracked
  • — government proposals monitored
  • Committee work quantified (— documents)

📊 Coalition Prediction

  • 4 election scenarios modeled
  • Historical pattern analysis (1971-2024)
  • Party discipline tracking
  • Defection probability estimation
  • Government formation simulation

✅ Fact-Checking Infrastructure

  • Politician claims vs. voting records
  • Party platform consistency analysis
  • Campaign promise tracking
  • Real-time debate verification
  • Historical accountability metrics

⚠️ Risk Assessment

  • 45 behavioral risk rules active
  • MINOR/MAJOR/CRITICAL severity levels
  • Automated alert system
  • Trend analysis for context
  • Transparent methodology

45 Risk Rules Across 4 Domains

  • Politician-Level (20 rules): Attendance, voting consistency, role conflicts, productivity
  • Party-Level (12 rules): Coalition discipline, ideological drift, internal conflicts
  • Committee-Level (8 rules): Legislative productivity, partisan deadlock, expert testimony
  • Ministry-Level (5 rules): Budget overruns, policy failures, accountability lapses

5 Analytical Frameworks

  • Temporal Analysis: Trend detection across time periods
  • Comparative Analysis: Cross-party/MP benchmarking
  • Pattern Recognition: Behavioral anomaly detection
  • Predictive Intelligence: Election outcome forecasting, coalition modeling
  • Network Analysis: Influence mapping, collaboration patterns

Citizen Intelligence Agency Data Products

Riksdagsmonitor is powered by the Citizen Intelligence Agency (CIA) — an open-source OSINT platform that processes Swedish parliamentary data into actionable intelligence products.

Risk Assessment Reports

45 risk rules across 4 domains analyze politician behavior, party discipline, committee effectiveness, and ministry accountability in real-time.

Seasonal Activity Analysis

Z-score anomaly detection identifies unusual parliamentary activity patterns by quarter, with historical baselines from 2002 to present.

Election Cycle Intelligence

Performance tracking across 9+ election cycles (1994–2034) with predictive risk forecasting, party tier analysis, and coalition probability modeling.

Open Data Integration

All intelligence products are derived from official open data sources. Visualizations update automatically via nightly data pipelines with 24-hour caching.

All data products available through the Citizen Intelligence Agency platform with real-time updates from Swedish Parliament open data APIs.

Data Sources & Integration

Riksdagsmonitor integrates multiple authoritative Swedish and international data sources:

Swedish Parliament (Riksdagen)

Official parliamentary data including votes, documents, committee work, and MP information.

data.riksdagen.se

Swedish Election Authority

Historical election results, voter turnout, and electoral statistics for all national elections.

val.se

Financial Management Authority (ESV)

Government budget data, public spending analysis, and financial accountability reporting.

esv.se/psidata

World Bank Open Data

Country-level economic and development indicators for international comparative analysis.

data.worldbank.org