Current Coalition: Tidö Agreement
Formation: October 2022 | Status: Active | Majority: 176 seats (of 349 total)
Coalition Stability Assessment
Majority Margin: 1 seat (narrow)
CIA Risk Assessment: 12 MAJOR alerts, 5 CRITICAL alerts detected (last 90 days)
Fragility Indicators: Ideological tensions between SD and L, vulnerable to defections
Stability Score: Moderate Risk (72%)
📊 Political Intelligence Dashboards
Nine specialised dashboards covering election cycles, party performance, committees, coalitions, seasonal patterns, pre-election monitoring, anomaly detection, ministers and risk — built on Citizen Intelligence Agency OSINT data and the Swedish Riksdag open data API.
Comprehensive Intelligence Platform
CIA delivers systematic political transparency through 45 risk rules across 4 domains and 5 analytical frameworks.
🔍 Real-Time Monitoring
- 349 MPs tracked (— historical) automatically
- — individual ballot records analyzed
- — documents processed
- — member proposals tracked
- — government proposals monitored
- Committee work quantified (— documents)
📊 Coalition Prediction
- 4 election scenarios modeled
- Historical pattern analysis (1971-2024)
- Party discipline tracking
- Defection probability estimation
- Government formation simulation
✅ Fact-Checking Infrastructure
- Politician claims vs. voting records
- Party platform consistency analysis
- Campaign promise tracking
- Real-time debate verification
- Historical accountability metrics
⚠️ Risk Assessment
- 45 behavioral risk rules active
- MINOR/MAJOR/CRITICAL severity levels
- Automated alert system
- Trend analysis for context
- Transparent methodology
45 Risk Rules Across 4 Domains
- Politician-Level (20 rules): Attendance, voting consistency, role conflicts, productivity
- Party-Level (12 rules): Coalition discipline, ideological drift, internal conflicts
- Committee-Level (8 rules): Legislative productivity, partisan deadlock, expert testimony
- Ministry-Level (5 rules): Budget overruns, policy failures, accountability lapses
5 Analytical Frameworks
- Temporal Analysis: Trend detection across time periods
- Comparative Analysis: Cross-party/MP benchmarking
- Pattern Recognition: Behavioral anomaly detection
- Predictive Intelligence: Election outcome forecasting, coalition modeling
- Network Analysis: Influence mapping, collaboration patterns
Citizen Intelligence Agency Data Products
Riksdagsmonitor is powered by the Citizen Intelligence Agency (CIA) — an open-source OSINT platform that processes Swedish parliamentary data into actionable intelligence products.
Risk Assessment Reports
45 risk rules across 4 domains analyze politician behavior, party discipline, committee effectiveness, and ministry accountability in real-time.
Seasonal Activity Analysis
Z-score anomaly detection identifies unusual parliamentary activity patterns by quarter, with historical baselines from 2002 to present.
Election Cycle Intelligence
Performance tracking across 9+ election cycles (1994–2034) with predictive risk forecasting, party tier analysis, and coalition probability modeling.
Open Data Integration
All intelligence products are derived from official open data sources. Visualizations update automatically via nightly data pipelines with 24-hour caching.
All data products available through the Citizen Intelligence Agency platform with real-time updates from Swedish Parliament open data APIs.
Data Sources & Integration
Riksdagsmonitor integrates multiple authoritative Swedish and international data sources:
Swedish Parliament (Riksdagen)
Official parliamentary data including votes, documents, committee work, and MP information.
data.riksdagen.seSwedish Election Authority
Historical election results, voter turnout, and electoral statistics for all national elections.
val.seFinancial Management Authority (ESV)
Government budget data, public spending analysis, and financial accountability reporting.
esv.se/psidataWorld Bank Open Data
Country-level economic and development indicators for international comparative analysis.
data.worldbank.orgAI-Disrupted News Generation
Riksdagsmonitor's agentic news generation pipeline is the world's first fully AI-driven political intelligence newsroom for parliamentary monitoring. Powered by Claude Opus via GitHub Copilot Coding Agent, our 10 specialized workflows (9 scheduled + 1 on-demand) autonomously produce deep political analysis — not shallow summaries, but structured intelligence products with source verification, multi-party balance, and GDPR-compliant OSINT methodology.