Module: CoalitionIntelligence/StatusAnalysis

Coalition Status Intelligence & Party Dynamics Analyzer

Real-time intelligence module for monitoring Swedish coalition formations, party membership dynamics, leadership roles, and political alignment patterns. Provides strategic assessment of the Tidö Agreement coalition (October 2022-) and comprehensive party-level metrics across all 8 Riksdag parties.

Intelligence Focus

Strategic Coalition Monitoring:

• Tidö Agreement: M-SD-KD-L four-party coalition (2022-present)
• Government Formation: Minority coalition with external support
• Stability Metrics: Member cohesion, voting discipline, policy alignment
• Alternative Scenarios: Potential realignment patterns

Data Sources & Coverage

CIA Platform Exports (4 primary datasets):

1. view_riksdagen_party_summary_sample.csv - Party statistics
   • Current member counts, committee assignments, leadership positions
2. view_riksdagen_party_role_member_sample.csv - Leadership roles
   • Party leaders, parliamentary group leaders, committee chairs
3. view_riksdagen_politician_sample.csv - MP profiles
   • Individual assignments, experience, voting records
4. view_riksdagen_politician_experience_summary_sample.csv - Experience data
   • Parliamentary tenure, committee experience, leadership history

Update Frequency:

• Freshness Threshold: 7 days (weekly update cycle)
• Cache Strategy: localStorage with staleness detection
• Retry Logic: 3 attempts with 2-second backoff

Party Intelligence Profiles

8 Swedish Political Parties:

Coalition Analysis Metrics

Key Performance Indicators:

• Membership Strength: Active MPs per party (175 left + 174 right bloc)
• Committee Influence: Committee chair distribution analysis
• Leadership Stability: Party leader tenure tracking
• Policy Cohesion: Voting discipline within coalition
• External Support: SD cooperation patterns with government

Intelligence Methodologies

Analytical Techniques:

• Coalition Mapping: Network analysis of party relationships
• Power Balance: Seat distribution and influence metrics
• Stability Assessment: Historical coalition patterns (1971-2024)
• Scenario Planning: Alternative government formations
• Predictive Modeling: Coalition longevity forecasts

OSINT Data Pipeline

Multi-Source Strategy:

Primary:   cia-data/party/view_riksdagen_party_summary_sample.csv (local)
Fallback:  GitHub Raw API (CIA repository master branch)
Cache:     localStorage with 7-day TTL
Validation: Schema checks, data completeness, freshness validation

Data Quality Assurance:

• CSV format validation (UTF-8, comma-delimited)
• Required fields: party_id, party_short_name, member_count, role
• Range validation: member_count > 0, valid party codes
• Referential integrity: Cross-dataset party ID consistency

Visualization & Reporting

Dashboard Components:

1. Coalition Status Card - Current government composition
2. Party Strength Chart - Member counts and distribution
3. Leadership Roster - Key political figures
4. Committee Power Map - Committee chair distribution
5. Historical Trends - Coalition stability over time

Multi-Language Support

14 Languages:

• Western: EN, SV, DA, NO, FI, DE, FR, ES, NL
• Middle Eastern: AR, HE (RTL support)
• East Asian: JA, KO, ZH

Localized Content:

• Party names (official vs. colloquial)
• Coalition terminology
• Political system concepts

GDPR Compliance